Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.119723 5.583521 6.088822 6.683540 7.368658 8.138438 9.076277
2025-02-16 4.340188 4.964888 5.697191 6.632234 7.814317 9.287672 11.311406
2025-02-23 3.919756 4.630250 5.506091 6.691778 8.299614 10.476772 13.790549
2025-03-02 3.524556 4.255043 5.187253 6.502782 8.381250 11.092407 15.579073
2025-03-09 3.243456 3.985912 4.960886 6.385967 8.514447 11.768471 17.598062
2025-03-16 3.040396 3.795244 4.811991 6.346245 8.735662 12.596561 20.089623
2025-03-23 2.928121 3.713749 4.799952 6.494711 9.255581 14.000353 24.114681
2025-03-30 2.736984 3.506442 4.588142 6.312821 9.207448 14.395960 26.225057
2025-04-06 2.569276 3.320064 4.390751 6.130400 9.128305 14.711072 28.271470
2025-04-13 2.423055 3.154933 4.211958 5.958633 9.041627 14.989589 30.344077
2025-04-20 2.319138 3.044700 4.107263 5.896236 9.140160 15.658492 33.756719
2025-04-27 2.274291 3.017985 4.127008 6.040906 9.639515 17.289288 40.908790
2025-05-04 2.213888 2.970466 4.120126 6.156519 10.138061 19.150351 50.739241
2025-05-11 2.129656 2.883074 4.045584 6.149483 10.400723 20.564780 60.683514
2025-05-18 2.065622 2.822492 4.009195 6.206439 10.807418 22.502469 75.787686
2025-05-25 1.964841 2.698745 3.859830 6.037628 10.692525 22.962003 84.196067
2025-06-01 1.883974 2.602263 3.749811 5.932972 10.707009 23.820072 96.851483
2025-06-08 1.821553 2.531889 3.679243 5.897354 10.876463 25.232965 117.099232
2025-06-15 1.791937 2.512421 3.694023 6.030434 11.475250 28.344583 164.037826
2025-06-22 1.716792 2.415313 3.567828 5.867371 11.308393 28.680369 183.961435
2025-06-29 1.646378 2.323193 3.445817 5.703590 11.118449 28.882657 204.570024
2025-07-06 1.581751 2.238177 3.332325 5.549146 10.933510 29.059692 227.579950
2025-07-13 1.535768 2.182296 3.268045 5.492987 11.004311 30.331630 282.432891